Poster for AEA 2015 We modeled cigarette sales in Wyoming from May 1996 through May 2014, accounting for state and federal excise taxes. Our model showed a good fit for data until fall of 2012. After that point, the model predicts higher cigarette sales than the actual data. We found that the...
- WYSAC’s staff includes professional researchers with degrees in criminal justice, statistics, political science, psychology, sociology, information technology, economics, business, and other policy-relevant disciplines. Our offices provide complete facilities for policy research, including a fully equipped call center for computer-aided telephone interviewing and the hardware and software for automated data entry by optical scanning.Putting a Statistical Model in Context: Making Sense of Unexpected Evaluation Findings in the Absence of Formal Research Laran H